Moon Desk: First, what happened in the perceptual world? The aftermath of Pahalgam and Operation Bunyan Marsus (Iron Wall) should demonstrate ‘strategic humility’. Miscalculations by Indian leaders – political and military – should never be forgiven in silence. In ‘teaching Pakistan a lesson’, India not only ‘altered the regional equation’, it also rehyphenated with Pakistan, something it loathed, after its hard-won Clinton-era de-hyphenation.
And New Delhi unwittingly exposed itself to a parity with Islamabad that it vehemently denied under hubris, arrogance and over-confidence.Rabid anchors like Arnab Goswami and military analysts like the froth-fuming Maj Gen Gagandeep Bakhshi and Major Gaurav Arya steered the debate about complex realities into loud nationalism, muting the voices of reason from the few and far between. They turned national strategy into a charade of slogans without substance. India, in doing so, lost its strategic narrative. Intoxicated with its new-found economic relevance, India walked into the trap of ‘buying and bullying into influence’, only to lose both. It triggered the most dangerous regional escalation since Kargil without any investigation, without any shareable proof, without any satellite imagery, without any international inquiry and without remorse, just guided by ‘nationalist theatrics’, media jingoism and short-term political gains – all to abrogate Indus Water Treaty and humiliate Pakistan. And it failed.A ‘pauper’ Pakistani response sent India suing for ceasefire, after being forced out of the skies, after targeted destruction on land, and a good drubbing in Kashmir. New Delhi ‘mistook Pakistan’s composure for collapse’. Islamabad’s response was doctrinal and not theatrical. Pakistan’s ‘digital kill web’ proved far more dangerous than terrorism, which India blames on Islamabad. The 16-hour skirmish diminished India’s role as a counterbalance to China, as a rising regional power and as a reliable partner. Instead of teaching a lesson to Pakistan, India was taught one – worth inclusion in the syllabi of all staff colleges and war courses.
From the skirmish, neither Pakistan emerged as a dwarf two-foot David, nor India as a loud-talking 10-foot Goliath. India was humbled by the unkindness of the event. Karachi did not fall, Islamabad remained steadfast, and Lahore kept pulsating, with daredevil Pakistanis eulogising their soldiers who were busy firing their deadly arsenal towards India from their fields, from their neighborhoods, and praying elders overseeing salvo after salvo. It was a national Bunyan Marsus.Modi’s India miscalculated militarily, decided to ignore geopolitics, misread the doctrine, misjudged Pakistan’s internal dynamics and resolve and overplayed its hand in trying to redefine South Asia’s balance of power. A leaf from Israel’s playbook did not match Chanakya Kotalia’s script. India’s doctrine of punitive retaliation through swift operations is broken operationally not just symbolically.
By denying truth to its own people and by constantly lying to unfathomable extents during this war, India lost any remaining credibility for its media, official and unofficial. Modi’s strongman image took an irreparable hit, and his tattered ego is littered with strategic miscalculation, economic overreach, doctrinal unpreparedness and moral bankruptcy, exposing India’s own multiple fault lines.
The dictum of the history is clear, New Delhi is not the victor in this round, Islamabad is. Bunyan Marsus was ‘Pakistan’s rendezvous with history’ an existential moment of great peril, handled with dignity and precision. Allah be praised!
